• jsulli21

Jason Sullivan's Week 4 Draft Kings Preview

Updated: Oct 3

Week 3 proved to be more of the same when it comes to the higher-owned stacks hitting once again. If you played either side of the Cowboys-Seahawks stack, you probably had a great week. Russell Wilson was dominant again, with Tyler Lockett as his top stacking option. With Week 3 behind us, we are on to Week 4. There are 6 or 7 really good game stacking options that you can choose from this week. There are a lot of ways you can go to start your lineups, but the key will once again be your ability to hit on some lower-owned plays. Draft Kings has finally come around and started to bump the prices up at the QB position, making it more difficult to plug and play the top guys at the position. Just a year ago, Patrick Mahomes was typically the only QB that would be consistently priced above $7000. This week there are 6 different QB’s that are priced at $7000 or above. DK is forcing your hand if you want to play one of the top guys. They know that fading all 6 is a risky plan. Here are my picks for the week. As always, I focus on the main slate only.


Favorite Stack

BUF @ LV: Implied game total of 53 points.

1. Josh Allen - $7300

-Coming into this season, Allen never had more than 270 yards in a single game. He has three games over 300 yards already this season, not to mention what he has done with his legs.

2. Stefon Diggs - $6800

-Diggs has had 9, 13 and 6 targets in the first 3 weeks. The 6 came against Jalen Ramsey. He has a much better matchup this week.

3. Josh Jacobs - $6800

-BUF has a tough defense, but they are not great against the run. The Bills allow the most yards after contact in the league to RB’s. That is Jacobs’ strength.

**This leaves you with $4850 remaining per player to build your lineup.

Photo courtesy of nfl.com


Second Stack

CLE at DAL: Implied game total of 55.5 points.

1. Dak Prescott - $7200

2. Amari Cooper - $6700

3. Odell Beckham Jr. - $5800

**This leaves you with $5050 remaining per player to build your lineup.

Photo courtesy of cbssports.com


Low-Owned Stack

MIN @ HOU: Implied game total of 54 points.

1. Deshaun Watson - $6600

2. Will Fuller - $5900

3. Adam Thielen - $6600

**This leaves you with $5150 remaining per player to build your lineup

(This stack is dependent on Will Fuller being healthy and able to play)

Photo courtesy of clutchpoints.com


Favorite Plays

1. Zeke Elliott - $7800

2. Alvin Kamara - $8000

3. Hunter Renfrow - $4600

4. Allen Robinson - $6700

5. Keenan Allen - $6500

6. Mike Evans - $6400

7. Austin Eckler - $7100

8. DK Metcalf - $6800

9. Darrell Henderson Jr. - $5800

Photo courtesy of si.com


Fades

1. Nick Foles - $5700

2. Tom Brady - $6100

3. Tyler Higbee - $5700

4. T. Kelce - $6800

Photo courtesy of tampabay.com


These are my favorite stacks of the week, but as I mentioned earlier, you can argue that a few other games should be included as well. Finding the value plays is going to be the key to your success. Remember, you need to find strong contrarian plays. Low-owned does not always mean value. You will need to find guys that will be getting more opportunities due to injuries or guys that have a good matchup for the week. I like to find guys that are trending in the right direction, meaning each of the last few weeks they are getting more touches, targets, etc. Don’t go chasing after points if a guy has one game that clearly stands out from the others. Find the trends and take advantage of them when building your lineup. As always, if you have any questions about building your lineups or if you just want my opinion, feel free to reach out to me on Twitter @jsulli2121. Good luck this week!

-Jason Sullivan

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