NFL Prop Bets 1.3.21

I’m coming back to you for Week 17 prop bets. Last week was solid and we look to continue that momentum in Week 17. Get your notepad ready and wallet out; it’s time to make some money.

Note: no player props were listed for the Bills vs. Dolphins; Chargers vs. Chiefs; or Saints vs. Panthers games at the time of writing.

Ezekiel Elliott OVER 65.5 Rushing Yards -112

I look for Dallas to lean on Zeke in their finale. If that is the case and he get 18+ carries he will easily go over 65.

Matthew Stafford OVER 255.5 Passing Yards -112

The biggest question on this one is, will Stafford play the full game. If he does, he will go over. I’m betting that he does.


Sam Darnold UNDER 210.5 Passing Yards -112

My original thought on this was, easy over. Then, I looked at the game log, 7 straight games under 211. It was October 1st when he last went over this number. For that reason, I will take the under.


Late Games (4:00 EST)


Aaron Rodgers UNDER 295.5 Passing Yards +100

Same thing for this one, original thought was the over but once again I’m on the under. We all know by now that Rodgers is having a great year. However, his passing yards game log isn’t that impressive recently. He has been under 295 in the last 5 games. Also, being Week 17 I could see him getting rest late if it’s a blowout or at least them leaning on the RBs.


Nyheim Hines OVER 2.5 Receptions -190

Hines has gone over 2 receptions 11 out of the 15 (73%) games this year. In order to come out ahead when you lay -190 you would need to hit it 65.52% of the time, making the over a good bet.

DeShaun Watson OVER 25.5 Rushing Yards -112

This was a winner from last week so I am going back to this well until it burns me (to mix metaphors). This is a slight bump in yardage, which makes it so his history of the over isn’t as good. However, I still expect him to rush for more than 27 yards.


That was the write up from last week. This week is the same except the line has decreased to 25.5 so I like it that much more (you know 2 yards worth).


Jacob Hollister UNDER 20.5 Receiving Yards -130

Under 20.5 receiving yards for Jacob Hollister may be one of the better statistical bets today. At -130 the implied probably is 56.52%, Jacob Hollister has gone over 20 receiving yards just twice this year for an under hit rate of 83.33%. I will take the under.


Van Jefferson OVER 1.5 Receptions -152

Cooper Cupp is most likely out due to the being on the COVID list. If that is the case, this is the time for Van to shine. I will take Jefferson over 1.5 receptions. Shine Van, shine!


Darren Waller OVER 61.5 Receiving Yards -118

Waller has gone over 62 receiving yards his last 4 games and 5 of his last 6. It seems like Carr only has eyes for him, that trend continues today as he eclipses the 62-yard mark for his 5th straight game.



Well that’s all folks. Check back in next week.


-Shaun Parrott


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